Our latest papers:

13 Jan 2025

GreenSurge

04 April 2024

BinWaves

14 March 2024

New Paper



Our previous papers:

2025

Green, J., Haigh, I. D., Quinn, N., Neal, J., Wahl, T., Wood, M., Eilander, D., de Ruiter, M., Ward, P., & Camus, P. (2025). Review article: A comprehensive review of compound flooding literature with a focus on coastal and estuarine regions, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 747–816, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-747-2025.

Pozo, A., Wilson, M., Katurji, M., Cagigal, L., Méndez, F.J. and Lane, E. (2025). Characterising Local Flood-Inducing Heavy Rainfall Through Daily Weather Types and Large-Scale Climatic Patterns: Aotearoa New Zealand Study Case. Int J Climatol, e8762. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8762.

Pérez-Díaz, B., Cagigal, L., Castanedo, S., Fernandez-Quiruelas, V., Méndez, F. J. (2025). GreenSurge: an efficient additive model for predicting storm surge induced by tropical cyclones. Coastal Engineering, Volume 197, 15 April 2025, 104691. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2024.104691.

2024

Cagigal, L., Méndez, F.J., Ricondo, A., Gutiérrez-Barceló, D., Bosserelle, C., Hoeke, R. (2024). BinWaves: An additive hybrid method to downscale directional wave spectra to nearshore areas, Ocean Modelling, Volume 189, 102346, ISSN 1463-5003, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102346.

Ricondo, A., Cagigal, L., Pérez-Díaz, B., Méndez, F.J. (2024). HySwash: A hybrid model for nearshore wave processes, Ocean Engineering, Volume 291, 116419, ISSN 0029-8018, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oceaneng.2023.116419.

Ricondo, A., Cagigal, L., Pérez-Díaz, B., Méndez, F.J. (2024). Introducing bimodal sea-states in a hybrid model for nearshore wave processes, Coastal Engineering, Volume 192,2024,104556,ISSN 0378-3839, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2024.104556.

Zornoza-Aguado, M., Pérez-Díaz, B., Cagigal, L., Castanedo, S., Méndez, F.J. (2024). An efficient metamodel to downscale total water level in open beaches, Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, Volume 299, 108705, ISSN 0272-7714, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2024.108705.

van Vloten, S., Cagigal, L., Pérez-Díaz, B., Hoeke, R., Méndez, F. (2024). SHyTCWaves: A stop-motion hybrid model to predict tropical cyclone induced waves, Ocean Modelling, Volume 188, 102341, ISSN 1463-5003, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102341.

Borato, L., Härter Fetter Filho, A.F., Gomes da Silva, P., Méndez, F.J., da Fontoura Klein, A.H. (2024) Evaluation of CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models Based on Weather Types Applied to the South Atlantic Ocean. International Journal of Climatology, 44(15), pp. 5580–5595. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8653.

Rueda, A., Costales, A., Bruschi, V., Sánchez-Espeso, J., Méndez, F.J. (2024). Regional coastal cliff classification: Application to the cantabrian coast, Spain, Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, Volume 308, 108900, ISSN 0272-7714. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2024.108900.

2023

van Vloten, S. O., Pozo, A., Cagigal, L., & Méndez, F. J. (2023). Seasonal forecast of tropical cyclones in the Southwest Pacific Ocean. International Journal of Climatology, 43(16), 7851–7869. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8295.

Ricondo, A., Cagigal, L., Rueda, A., Hoeke, R., Storlazzi, C., & Méndez, F. J. (2023). HyWaves: Hybrid downscaling of multimodal wave spectra to nearshore areas. Ocean Modelling. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2023.102210.

Tausía, J., Delaux, S., Camus, P., Rueda, A., Méndez, F. J., Bryan, K.R., Pérez, J., Costa, C.G.R., Zyngfogel, R., Cofiño, A. (2023) Rapid response data-driven reconstructions for storm surge around New Zealand. Applied Ocean Research,Volume 133, 103496, ISSN 0141-1187. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apor.2023.103496.

Mukhopadhyay, S., Leung, M., Cagigal, L., Kucharski, J., Ruggiero, P., & Steinschneider, S. (2023). Understanding the natural variability of still water levels in the San Francisco Bay over the past 500 years: implications for future coastal flood risk. Journal of Geophysical Research – Oceans. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JC019012.

Macpherson, L.R., Arns, A., Fischer, S., Méndez, F. J., Jensen, J. (2023) Bayesian extreme value analysis of extreme sea levels along the German Baltic coast using historical information. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 23(12), pp. 3685–3701. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3685-2023.

Tu’uholoaki, M., Espejo, A., Singh, A., Damlamian, H., Wandres, M., Chand, S., Méndez, F. J., Fa'anunu, 'O. (2023) Clustering tropical cyclone genesis on ENSO timescales in the Southwest Pacific. Climate Dynamics, 60(11-12), pp. 3353–3368. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06497-6.

2022

Camus, P., Haigh I.D., Wahl, T. Nasr, A.A., Méndez, F.J., Darby, S.E., Nicholls, R.J. (2022) Daily synoptic conditions associated with occurrences of compound events in estuaries along North Atlantic coastlines. International Journal of Climatology, 42(11), pp. 5694–5713. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7556.

Mirones, Ó., Bedia, J., Fernández-Granja, J. A., Herrera, S., Van Vloten, S. O., Pozo, A., Cagigal, L., Méndez, F. J. (2022). Weather-type-conditioned calibration of Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission precipitation over the South Pacific Convergence Zone. International Journal of Climatology, 1–18. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7905.

van Vloten, S.O., Cagigal, L., Rueda, A., Ripoll, N., Méndez, F. (2022). HyTCWaves: A Hybrid model for downscaling Tropical Cyclone induced extreme Waves climate. Ocean Modelling, Volume 178, 102100, ISSN 1463-5003. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2022.102100.

Cagigal, L., Méndez, F. J., van Vloten, S. O., Rueda, A., Coco, G. (2022). Wind wave footprint of tropical cyclones from satellite data. International Journal of Climatology, 43 (1), 372–381. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7764.

M. D'Anna, D. Idier, B. Castelle, J. Rohmer, L. Cagigal, F.J. Méndez (2022). Effects of stochastic wave forcing on probabilistic equilibrium shoreline response across the 21st century including sea-level rise. Coastal Engineering, Volume 175, 104149, ISSN 0378-3839. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2022.104149.

Shope, J.B., Erikson, L.H., Barnard, P.L., Storlazzi, C., Serafin, K., Doran, K.,Stockdon, H., Reguero, B., Méndez, F., Castanedo, S., Cid, A., Cagigal, L., Ruggiero, P. (2022). Characterizing storm-induced coastal change hazards along the United States West Coast. Sci Data, 9, 224. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-022-01313-6.

Saidelles, C.W., Ramos, M.S., Farina, L., Nicolodi, J.L., Albuquerque, J., Méndez, F.J. (2022). Directional correction of ERA5 and CAWCR wave spectrum partitions in the Southeast Brazil, Ocean Modelling, Volume 265 (2022), 112475, ISSN 0029-8018. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oceaneng.2022.112475.

de Souza, D.C., Ramos da Silva, R., Gomes da Silva, P., Härter Fetter Filho, A.F., Méndez, F. J., Werth, D. (2022). A hybrid regional climate downscaling for the southern Brazil coastal region. International Journal of Climatology, 42(13), pp. 6753–6770. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7607.

2021

Cagigal, L., Rueda, A., Ricondo, A., Pérez, J., Ripoll, N., Coco, G., Méndez, F. J. (2021). Climate-based emulator of distant swell trains and local seas approaching a Pacific atoll. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 126, e2020JC016919. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JC016919.

Anderson, D., Ruggiero, P., Méndez, F.J., Barnard, P., Erikson, L., O’Neill, A., Merrifield, M., Rueda, A., Cagigal, L., Marra, J. (2021). Projecting Climate Dependent Coastal Flood Risk with a Hybrid Statistical Dynamical Model. Earth’s Future, 9(12). https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002285.

Montaño, J., Coco, G., Chataigner, T., Yates, M., Le Dantec, N., Suanez, S., Cagigal, L., Floc'h, F., Townend, I. (2021). Time-scales of a dune-beach system and implications for shoreline modeling. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 126, e2021JF006169. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JF006169.

Vitousek, S., Cagigal, L., Montaño, J., Rueda, A., Méndez, F.J., Coco, G., Barnard, P. L. (2021). The application of ensemble wave forcing to quantify uncertainty of shoreline change predictions. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 126, e2019JF005506. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JF005506.

Montaño, J., Coco, G., Cagigal, L., Méndez, F.J., Rueda, A., Bryan, K. R., Harley, M. D. (2021). A multiscale approach to shoreline prediction. Geophysical Research Letters, 48, e2020GL090587. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL090587.

Albuquerque, J., Antolínez J.A.A.,Rueda A., Gorman, R.M., Méndez, F.J., Coco G. (2021). Seas and swells throughout New Zealand: A new partitioned hindcast, Ocean Modelling, 168 (2021), Article 101897, ISSN 1463-5003. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2021.101897.

2020

Cagigal, L., Rueda, A., Anderson, D., Ruggiero, P., Merrifield, M., Montaño, J., Coco, G., Méndez, F.J. (2020). A multivariate, stochastic, climate-based wave emulator for shoreline change modelling. Ocean Modelling. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2020.101695.

Montaño, J., Coco, G., Antolínez, J. A. A., Beuzen, T., Bryan, K. R., Cagigal, L., et al. (2020). Blind testing of shoreline evolution models. Scientific Reports. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-59018-y.

Silva, A.P., Klein, A.H.F., Fetter-Filho, A.F.H., Hein, C.J., Méndez, F.J., Broggio, M.F., Dalinghaus, C (2020). Climate-induced variability in South Atlantic wave direction over the past three millennia. Scientific Reports. Sci Rep 10, 18553. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-75265-5.

Winter G., Storlazzi C., Vitousek S., van Dongeren A., McCall R., Hoeke R., Skirving W., Marra J., Reyns J., Aucan J., Widlansky M., Becker J., Perry C., Masselink G., Lowe R., Ford M., Pomeroy A., Méndez, F.J., Rueda A. & Wandres M. (2020). Steps to Develop Early Warning Systems and Future Scenarios of Storm Wave-Driven Flooding Along Coral Reef-Lined Coasts. Frontiers in Marine Science, 7, 199 https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2020.00199.

2019

Cagigal, L., Rueda, A., Castanedo, S., Cid, A., Perez, J., Stephens, S., Coco, G., Méndez, F. (2019). Historical and future storm surge around New Zealand: From the 19th century to the end of the 21st century. International Journal of Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6283.

Anderson, D., Rueda, A., Cagigal, L., Antolínez, J. A. A., Méndez, F. J., & Ruggiero, P. (2019). Time-Varying Emulator for Short and Long-Term Analysis of Coastal Flood Hazard Potential. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 1–26. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JC015312.

Rueda, A., Cagigal, L., Pearson, S., Antolínez, J.A.A., Storlazzi, C., Dongeren, A., Camus, P., Méndez, F.J. (2019). HyCReWW: A Hybrid Coral Reef Wave and Water level metamodel. Computer and Geosciences, 127, 58-90. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cageo.2019.03.004.

Antolínez, J. A. A., Méndez, F.J.,Anderson, D., Ruggiero, P., &Kaminsky, G. M. (2019) Predicting Climate-Driven Coastlines With a Simple and Efficient Multiscale Model. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 124(6), pp. 1596–1624. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JF004790.

Nuñez, P., García, A., Mazarrasa, I., Juanes, J.A., Abascal, A.J., Méndez, F.J., Castanedo, S., Medina, R. (2019) A methodology to assess the probability of marine litter accumulation in estuaries. Marine pollution Bulletin, 144, pp. 309–324. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpolbul.2019.04.077.

Oliveira, B.A., Sobral, F., Fetter, A., Méndez, F.J. (2019) A high-resolution wave hindcast off Santa Catarina (Brazil) for identifying wave climate variability. Regional Studies in Marine Science, Volume 32, 100834, ISSN 2352-4855 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rsma.2019.100834.

2018

Rueda, A., Cagigal, L., Antolínez, J.A.A., Albuquerque, J., Castanedo, S., Coco, G., Méndez, F.J. (2018). Marine climate variability based on weather patterns for a complicated island setting: The New Zealand case. International Journal of Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5912.

Anderson, D., Ruggiero, P., Antolínez,J. A. A., Méndez, F. J., & Allan, J. (2018). A climate index optimized for longshoresediment transport reveals interannualand multidecadal littoral cell rotations. Journal of Geophysical Research: EarthSurface, 123(8), pp. 1958–1981 https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JF004689.

Albuquerque, J., Antolínez J.A.A.,Rueda A., Méndez, F.J., Coco G. (2018). Directional correction of modeled sea and swell wave heights using satellite altimeter data, Ocean Modelling, 131 (2018), pp. 103-114, ISSN 1463-5003. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2018.09.001.

Antolínez J.A.A., Murray, A. B., Méndez, F.J., Moore, L. J., Farley, G.,& Wood, J. (2018). Downscaling Changing Coastlines in a Changing Climate: The Hybrid Approach. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 123(2), pp. 229–251. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JF004367.

Erikson, L.H., Espejo, A., Barnard, P.L., Serafin, K.A., Hegermiller, C.A., O'Neill, A., Ruggiero, P., Limber, P.W., Méndez, F. J. (2018). Identification of storm events and contiguous coastal sections for deterministic modeling of extreme coastal flood events in response to climate change. Coastal Engineering, 140, pp. 316–330. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2018.08.003.

2017

Rueda, A., Vitousek, S., Camus, P., Tomás, A., Espejo, A., Losada, I.J., Barnard, P.L., Erikson, L.H., Ruggiero, P., Reguero, B.G., Méndez, F.J.. (2017). A global classification of coastal flood hazard climates associated with large-scale oceanographic forcing. Sci Rep, 7, 5038. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-05090-w.